![]() ![]() Rhaegar is holding his other son, Aegon, and says, " He is the prince that was promised, and his is the song of ice and fire. Plus, in the books, Daenerys has a vision with her brother Rhaegar (the possible father of Jon Snow). There's an argument to be made that Jon alone is the "song of ice and fire," because his likely parentage is both Stark and Targaryen. Is it possible Jon and Daenerys combined are TPTWP and Azor Ahai? Martin's series is titled "A Song of Ice and Fire." Jon's association with the north and the Wall makes him the "ice," while Daenerys' dragons and house name are the "fire." ![]() With her plans in place to one day conquer Westeros, surely she will need to defeat the White Walkers in the process. There are few known ways to kill these magical beings, and dragonfire is likely one of them. As the former Lord Commander of the Night's Watch and one of the series' morally "good guys," Jon just has that "hero-vibe" to him.ĭaenerys is also poised to come up against the White Walkers. In season five's "Hardhome" episode, he was literally face-to-face with the Night's King - the White Walkers' leader. Jon Snow is one of very few people in Westeros who have fought against a White Walker and won (using his Valyrian steel sword). They also both seem fated to fight against the White Walkers and their coming threat. This sword was forged with fire magic, so there's still something special about it. Neither of them posses a literal flaming sword, but Daenerys has fire-breathing dragons and Jon has a Valyrian steel sword, Longclaw. Jon was literally reborn after dying, while Daenerys has now been "reborn" in fire twice. When speaking with Tyrion and Varys, she says "Daenerys Stormborn has been sent to lead the people against a darkness - in this war, and in the great war still to come."īoth Jon and Daenerys possess qualities associated with TPTWP/Azor Ahai. All the way back in season two, Melisandre told Renly he should kneel before Stannis, for he is the "lord's chosen one, born amidst salt and smoke."īut over in Meereen, Kinvara is clear about TPTWP being Daenerys Targaryen. In past seasons, we heard Melisandre use these attributes to claim Stannis Baratheon as Azor Ahai, another name for TPTWP. There are several signs mentioned by Melisandre that are meant to symbolize TPTWP's return, but the two specifics are a "bleeding star," and being born "amidst salt and smoke." This prophesied hero is meant to deliver the entire world from a coming darkness. " The Prince That Was Promised" (TPTWP) is a legendary figure in Westeros, alluded to several times throughout the book series. Kinvara's reference to Daenerys is the second time in season six we've heard a character referred to as "the one who was promised." Melisandre said about Jon Snow after he was resurrected, and now Kinvara has formally assigned the title to Daenerys. "Game of Thrones" YouTuber Alt-Shift-X has a fantastic overview of the books' foretold heroes, but let's take a look at how the show has incorporated these prophecies. Martin's universe, but for now let's assume there's some truth to the fanatics' belief. Another possibility is that all prophecies are a farce in George R.R. Kinvara assures Tyrion that she wants to help, because she believes Daenerys is the "one who was promised," a hero destined to "l ead the people against a darkness."īut Daenerys is only one of a few people in Westeros who could be the prophesied hero destined to save humanity from the impending doom. ![]() ![]() When Tyrion invites Kinvara to Meereen, he is hopeful she will assist him in spreading beneficial stories about Daenerys. The Red Temple in Volantis is like the Vatican, to carry on with this metaphor. Melisandre technically reports up to her, sort of like a lower clergy would be duty-bound to the Pope. Kinvara appears to be the leader of all the priests and priestesses serving the Lord of Light, or R'hllor. So who exactly is Kinvara, and what does she have to do with the Mother of Dragons? Quite the mouthful (and not unlike Daenerys' lengthy list of titles). She is also introduced as the "Flame of Truth, the Light of Wisdom, and the First Servant of the Lord of Light." According to the priest who introduced her, Kinvara is the High Priestess of the Red Temple in Volantis. Sunday's "Game of Thrones" episode introduced a new mysterious religious servant - Kinvara. ![]()
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![]() ![]() heartbroken to be taken away from their families. We see parallels to Hurrem’s early life here. We now travel to Greece where a young girl named Anastasia seems to have a good, happy life with her family until a group of bandits raids their village but for some reason they only seem to be interested in her. He fears he is going to his death but his grandmother, a now older Safiye informs him that he is now the Sultan. From that moment on Ahmed lives in fear and one night he is awakened. Sadly, Mahmut would make some of the same mistakes Mustafa had years before and Mehmed III would continue the bloody tradition of fathers having sons slain. The boys make a pact that neither will murder the other. It also left a lasting impact on young Ahmed and his brother Mahmut. In previous years there have been less than ten princes murdered but because of Sultan Murad III’s lust, he had 20 sons that could have taken the throne and seeing 19 coffins being carried out of the harem horrified the country. ![]() We learned in Magnificent Century that when a new prince took the throne it was tradition that he had his other brothers murdered. His father came to the throne when he was five years old and he and his older brother were forced to witness one of the most shocking events in the empire’s history. His father is Sultan Mehmed III, his mother Handan. Kosem opens more than 25 years after the death of Sulieman and the voice we hear is that of Ahmed, Sulieman’s great-grandson. ![]() ![]() However, notice how the blue distribution (N=100) clusters more tightly around the actual population mean, indicating that sample means tend to be closer to the true value. Both distributions center on 100 because that is the population mean. The probability distribution plot displays the sampling distributions for sample sizes of 25 and 100. We know that the larger sample size produces a smaller standard error of the mean (1.5 vs. To calculate the SEM, I’ll use the standard deviation in the calculations for sample sizes of 25 and 100.Īs expected, quadrupling the sample size cuts the SEM in half. These scores have a mean of 100 and a standard deviation of 15. The SEM equation quantifies how larger samples produce more precise estimates! Mathematical and Graphical Illustration of Precisionįor this example, I’ll use the distribution properties for IQ scores. The total effect is that the standard error of the mean declines as the sample size increases.īecause the denominator is the square root of the sample size, quadrupling the sample size cuts the standard error in half. However, the denominator increases because it contains the sample size. During this process, the numerator won’t change much because the variability in the underlying population is a constant. Imagine that you start a study but then increase the sample size. The denominator is the square root of the sample size (N), which is an adjustment for the amount of data. The numerator (s) is the sample standard deviation, which represents the variability present in the data. Here’s the equation for the standard error of the mean. ![]() The reason becomes apparent when you understand how to calculate the standard error of the mean. I’m sure you’ve always heard that larger sample sizes are better. Related posts: Sample Statistics are Always Wrong (to Some Extent)! and How Hypothesis Tests Work Standard Error of the Mean and Sample Size As I mentioned, the SEM is the doorway that opens up to these standard tools of inferential statistics. Often, these statistics are more helpful than the standard error of the mean. However, statistical software uses SEMs to calculate p-values and confidence intervals. Again, larger values correspond to wider distributions.įor a SEM of 3, we know that the typical difference between a sample mean and the population mean is 3. Larger values correspond with broader distributions and signify that data points are likely to fall farther from the sample mean.įor the standard error of the mean, the value indicates how far sample means are likely to fall from the population mean using the original measurement units. The value for the standard deviation indicates the standard or typical distance that an observation falls from the sample mean using the original data units. Let’s return to the standard deviation briefly because interpreting it helps us understand the standard error of the mean. ![]() Related posts: Populations, Parameters, and Samples in Inferential Statistics and Interpreting P-values Interpreting the Standard Error of the Mean Consequently, you can assess the precision of your sample estimates without performing the repeated sampling. Statisticians know how to estimate the properties of sampling distributions mathematically, as you’ll see later in this post. Hello SEM!įortunately, you don’t need to repeat your study an insane number of times to obtain the standard error of the mean. You want your sample mean to be close to the population parameter. ![]() Specifically, you’re hoping that the sampling error is small. ![]() When using a sample to estimate the population, you want to know how wrong the sample estimate is likely to be. Sampling error is the difference between the sample and population mean. When you have a sample and calculate its mean, you know that it won’t equal the population mean exactly. That’s crucial information for inferential statistics! ![]() ![]() ![]() Check the price history of the game to determine how good the deal is in relation to historical low offers. All offers already include discounts from vouchers to save you time and money. GG.deals aggregates game keys from over 40 digital distribution stores so you can find the best deals on video games. Macs with NVIDIA GeForce 9400M or ATI Radeon X1600 graphics may not achieve smooth gameplay. The game does run on most Macs from 2009 onwards that have a distinct graphics chip (NVIDIA/ATI). Additional: Please be advised that the game does not run on Intel graphics solutions (such as MacBooks from 2006-2008) with the only exception being the new MacBook Pro 2011 models.Required: Keyboard, Mouse with Secondary click enabled.Video Card: OpenGL 2.0 compatible video card with 256 MB shared or dedicated RAM (ATI or NVIDIA).Note that Trine only works on a 32-bit operating system. OS: OS X version Leopard 10.5.8, or later.Additional: Keyboard, Mouse/Trackpad with Secondary click enabled.Macs with NVIDIA GeForce 9400M or ATi Radeon X1600 may not achieve smooth gameplay. The game does run on new (2010-) Intel HD Graphics 3000 or better. *NOTE: Please be advised that Trine Enchanted Edition does not run on Intel graphics solutions used in 2006-2008. Video Card: NVIDIA GeForce 8600M or better / ATi Radeon 2400 or better*.Note that Trine Enchanted Edition only works on a 32-bit operating system. SYSTEM REQUIREMENTS FOR TRINE ENCHANTED EDITION The original version also has some additional language subtitle options: Finnish, Turkish, Portuguese, Romanian in addition to those present in Trine Enchanted Edition (English, French, German, Italian, Spanish). The game version can be selected from the game's launcher. Trine Enchanted Edition also includes the original version of Trine for Windows and Mac. Fun and challenging Steam Achievements to unlock.Amazing 19-track soundtrack composed by acclaimed Ari Pulkkinen.Well-hidden secret chests in every level.Many different items to collect - each affecting the characters' abilities. ![]() 15 carefully designed and challenging levels with a distinctly unique atmosphere and graphics, including the Astral Academy, Crystal Caverns, Dragon Graveyard, Forsaken Dungeons, Fangle Forest and the Ruins of the Perished.Fully interactive game world with life-like physics.Characters gain experience points that can be used to upgrade their abilities.Solve challenges and puzzles in many different ways – combine the characters' abilities and let your mind come up with creative solutions never seen before.Thief can hit enemies from a distance with her accurate arrows but she also has a grappling hook to easily swing from one platform to another.Knight is a mayhem-bringer like no other, able to destroy objects and smash skeletons to pieces with his weapons, including the mighty Storm Hammer!.Wizard is able to cast physically simulated objects and levitate them in the totally interactive game world.3 Heroes – Amadeus the Wizard, Pontius the Knight and Zoya the Thief, each with their own skills:.Note: The original Trine is only included in the Windows and Mac versions. All Trine purchases have been automatically updated to Trine Enchanted Edition. The different versions are selectable from the game launcher. Stunning new graphics based on the Trine 2 engineīoth Trine Enchanted Edition as well as the original Trine are included in the Enchanted Edition.Mid-level saving: Save anywhere to play as long or short sessions as you like.Online and local co-op with up to three players.Trine Enchanted Edition Trine Enchanted Edition is a remake of the original Trine with dazzling new visual effects and numerous gameplay improvements! The player can at any time freely choose whoever is best suited for the upcoming challenge or puzzle: The Wizard is able to summon objects to help solve puzzles and create new ways to overcome obstacles, the Thief uses her agility and dead-on accuracy to swiftly surprise the monsters, and the Knight unleashes mayhem and physical destruction wherever he goes. The gameplay is based on fully interactive physics - each character's different abilities help the player battle an army of undead and defeat hazardous contraptions. Set in a world of great castles and strange machinery, three heroes are bound to a mysterious device called the Trine in a quest to save the kingdom from evil. Trine is a fantasy action game where the player can create and use physics-based objects to beat hazardous puzzles and threatening enemies. ![]() ![]() ![]() $1.50 off any TWO (2) Clorox® Scentiva® Products. Redeem $0.50 cash back (twice) on Huggies Wipes from Ibotta (expires 2/16 limit 5)Ĭlorox Scentiva Toilet Bowl Cleaner 24 oz – $2.28 Use $1.00/2 Huggies Wipes printable coupon $2.00/2 Suave Kids Hair Care Products from 2/10 RMN (exp 2/24) ![]() To print 2, you can go back to the original page and print again or just simply hit your back browser. 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Remember, Walmart prices can vary slightly from place to place, so you may see a few cents difference at your store. ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() In short type the following command as root user to copy /raid6/rsanpshot to another backup server named backupserver2: Let us see some examples for Linux, macOS, FreeBSD and Unix-like systems. -log-file="/var/log/my-rsync-script.log" : Log what rsync command is doing to the /var/log/my-rsync-script.log file.-progress : Show progress during transfer.-numeric-ids : Transfer numeric group and user IDs rather than using user and group names and mapping them at both ends.keep exact replica of your /raid6/rsnapshot directory. -delete : Delete extraneous files from the receiving side (ones that aren't on the sending side), but only for the directories that are being synchronized i.e.-z : Compress file data during the transfer.recurse into directories, and preserve symlinks, file permissions, file modification times, file group, file owner, device files & special files) Rsync -log-file= "/var/log/my-rsync-script.log" -az -H -delete -progress -numeric-ids /path /to / source 192.168.1.5: /path /to /dest / Rsync -az -H -delete -progress -numeric-ids /path /to / source 192.168.1.5: /path /to /dest / # Add a rsync log file # Rsync -az -H -delete -numeric-ids /path /to / source 192.168.1.5: /path /to /dest / # How about adding progress bar? # Rsync -az -H -delete -numeric-ids /path /to / source server2: /path /to /dest / # OR # Let us see how to use rsync to preserve and copy hard Links, softlinks and other data. This is useful for making offsite backups or copy existing backups to a usb hard disk. The rsync command can preserve hard links and make the exact copy of /raid6/rsnapshot/ directory to a remote server using the following syntax. How do I use the rsync command to copy my the entire snapshot directory /raid6/rsnapshot/ (around 4TB) to a remote server for mirroring purpose? The rsnapshot commands makes extensive use of hard links, so if the file doesn’t change, the next snapshot is simply a hard link to the exact same file. I‘m using rsnapshot filesystem snapshot utility to make incremental snapshots of local and remote filesystems for 10 production servers running on RHEL 5.x system. ![]() ![]() ![]() Go to Settings > Privacy > Camera, and turn off Let apps use my camera. Go to Power Options > Choose what the power button does, change the setting to Do nothing, and then Save changes. Go to Control Panel > Ease of Access > Ease of Access Center, and turn off all accessibility tools. Hide Ease of access feature on the logon screen. Go to Group Policy Editor > User Configuration > Administrative Templates\Start Menu and Taskbar\Remove All Programs list from the Start menu. For a more secure experience, we recommend that you make the following configuration changes to the device: In addition to specifying the apps that users can run, you should also restrict some settings and functions on the device. To force the Application Identity service to automatically start on reset, open a command prompt and run: (optional) If rules were generated for apps that should not be run, you can delete them by right-clicking on the rule and selecting Delete.īefore AppLocker will enforce rules, the Application Identity service must be turned on. Then use the dialog to choose a different user or group of users. (optional) If you want a rule to apply to a specific set of users, right-click on the rule and select Properties. The wizard will now create a set of rules allowing the installed set of apps. Be patient, it might take awhile to generate the rules. On the Rule Preferences page, click Next. Type a name to identify this set of rules, and then click Next. Select the folder that contains the apps that you want to permit, or select C:\ to analyze all apps. Right-click Executable Rules and then click Automatically generate rules. Go to Security Settings > Application Control Policies > AppLocker, and select Configure rule enforcement.Ĭheck Configured under Executable rules, and then click OK. Run Local Security Policy (secpol.msc) as an administrator. Use AppLocker to set rules for appsĪfter you install the desired apps, set up AppLocker rules to only allow specific apps, and block everything else. ![]() For desktop apps, you can install an app for all users without logging on to the particular account. For UWP apps, you must log on as that user for the app to install. This works for both Unified Windows Platform (UWP) apps and Windows desktop apps. You can also use AppLocker to set rules for applications in a domain by using Group Policy.įirst, install the desired apps on the device for the target user account(s). This topic describes how to lock down apps on a local device. ![]() For more information, see How AppLocker works. However, when an AppLocker rule for a specific rule collection is created, only the files explicitly allowed in a rule are permitted to run. If no AppLocker rules for a specific rule collection exist, all files with that file format are allowed to run. AppLocker rules specify which apps are allowed to run on the device.ĪppLocker rules are organized into collections based on file format. You can restrict users to a specific set of apps on a device running Windows 10 Enterprise or Windows 10 Education by using AppLocker. For example, you might set up a library computer so that users can search the catalog and browse the Internet, but can't run any other apps or change computer settings.įor devices running Windows 10, version 1709, we recommend the multi-app kiosk method. The result is similar to a kiosk device, but with multiple apps available. Learn how to configure a device running Windows 10 Enterprise or Windows 10 Education, version 1703 and earlier, so that users can only run a few specific apps. Use AppLocker to create a Windows 10 kiosk that runs multiple apps ![]() ![]() It's as close as you can get to actually wrapping rope around wooden objects. You have room to put multiple fingers, and even both hands on the iPad screen, and it feels so intuitive. The biggest addition is more screen real estate to truly manipulate these 3D objects in 2D space. The rest of the trees have the traditional mechanic though paint seems to spread just a tad bit further from the rope. Your goal is to touch the nails which explodes a circle of paint around it, and therefore you just need to wrap the rope from nail to nail, and not around the object. Other trees have paint bomb nail across the entire object. ![]() When you touch the glowing paint bomb to the object it covers a larger area in paint, so it's easier and faster to cover more of the object. Some trees have paint bombs on the rope that appear at certain lengths of the rope. New gameplay mechanics are also included to ease the tediousness of some levels. The trees are also split up in difficulty so it amps nicely as you go from tree to tree. The trees have fewer levels so there is a greater sense of accomplishment, and more unlocking which adds intrinsic reward. Zen Bound 2 features nine trees with all the iPhone levels enhanced for the iPad. Both of those problems have been addressed and enhanced in Zen Bound 2. Also, with only three trees in that version you could get bored, and never make it to the truly challenging levels. Zen Bound on the iPhone is an experience like none other on any platform, though there is some tediousness. You unlock new levels by earning certain numbers of flowers. In every level there are three completion intervals, 70% painted, 85% painted, and 100% painted with each earning 1, 2, or 3 flowers respectively. Then you use multi-touch to spin the wooden object 360 degrees. To control the rope you use the accelerometer to change the direction the rope comes in on. On top of that there are brand new levels only on the iPad which make up a majority of the game. All of the iPhone levels are included completely redesigned for the iPad. Each tree has a specific theme, and you will see certain similar wooden objects and gameplay mechanics in a tree. ![]() Zen Bound 2 features over 100 levels across nine different trees. Your goal is cover the object 100% in paint with a given amount of rope. The basic premise of the game is to wrap rope around 3D wooden objects, and paint expands from the rope. Zen Bound 2 is a sequel as the name suggests, and not just an iPad version of Zen Bound. ![]() ![]() ![]() Doing this right can get over 95% of the water out of the return lines. Put a plug in the fitting under the water when you see the bubbles blowing at full force. Make sure to keep the air blowing until the air is visible coming back into the jets of the pool. Use an air compressor to blow out all the return jet pipes. Also remove the skimmer baskets and weirs (weirs are the little flappers at the throat of a skimmer that function as a door). Unscrew and loosen any quick disconnect fittings or unions at your pump and filter system. If you have any additional equipment like an in-line chlorinator, booster pump, auxiliary pumps or valves with drain plugs it is helpful to apply the same steps outlined above to these. It is generally not recommended to remove a heat exchanger or burner tray. If you have an air compressor try to blow any remaining water out of the heater. Not all heaters have multiple drain plugs. ![]() Pull the drain plugs on the front and back “headers”. If your pump has unions you can completely disconnect it from the plumbing and turn it up-side down to get any remaining water out of it. This is a two person job.ĭisconnect the drain plugs on your pump and put them in the pump basket. Use your air compressor or a shop vacuum to blow out the lines if possible and plug them. Blow out the lines at the pool equipment.NOTE: Many swimming pool companies put the drain plugs for all the equipment items in the pump basket. You can also unthread the filter unions that connect it to the plumbing pipes to further drain water from the filter and backwash valve. If you use Acid on the DE grids be sure to fully rinse them so the acid does not continue to corrode the grids when in storage. If you are taking a DE or cartridge filter inside, this is an opportune time to clean the cartridges or DE grids beforehand. If you have a small filter that can be drained and carried into a warm area where it will not freeze this is preferred. It is important to get air inside the filter. Sand filters should also have the main drain plug removed and water drained out. If you have a “dial” or multiport backwash valve it is generally not a good idea to remove the top and expose the spider gasket to ice buildup – however it is recommended to make sure it does not have water in it. You will also want to pull open the backwash valve and leave it open if it is a “push-pull” or slide style backwash valve. Then pull the filter plug to drain the main tank. If you have a sand or DE filter it is important that you start by backwashing it. For a full winterization you will also typically want to use an air compressor to blow out your swimming pool lines. How to winterize and close an in-ground swimming pool.įirst try and find any chemicals and supplies used from previous years such as the cover, cover weights, skimmer plugs (also called gizmos sometimes) antifreeze, and flotation devices for a cover. We have a separate post about how most pool owners commonly deal with how to winterize a swimming pool in Texas. NOTE: A swimming pool winterization of this type is rarely done in Texas or some of the other southern states because the weather typically does not stay below freezing for enough days to freeze the ground to a depth where there are benefits from blowing out the lines or having anti-freeze in them. Some of the trade-offs with that slightly different method are discussed below when that step is outlined. It is now becoming common to perform this method throughout the US and in other countries.Ī slight variation of these steps can be performed where the pool is partially drained and an anti-freeze product is added to the lines instead of blowing out the lines and sealing them. Steps to winterize a swimming pool: The method described below whereby pool plumbing pipes are blown out and sealed first was most widely performed in New England and the East coast of the US. ![]() Whether you're a new pool owner with a stunning pool design or veteran home pool pro, this guide contains important information for all classes of pool ownership. How to Winterize & Close an Inground Pool ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() This year’s slate also will continue Hallmark’s tradition of working with top artists. The network will also feature the first film under DaySpring, “The Gift of Peace,” starring Nikki DeLoach and Brennan Elliott. Hallmark Movies & Mysteries will air the first Christmas movie under the Mahogany banner, “The Holiday Stocking,” starring Nadine Ellis, Tamala Jones, BJ Britt, Karon Riley and Mykelti Williamson. Hallmark Media will celebrate the culture of Chinese Americans in two films, “A Big Fat Family Christmas” and “Christmas at the Golden Dragon.” Meanwhile, the Festival of Lights will be celebrated in “Hanukkah on Rye,” while “Holiday Heritage” is the network’s first-ever movie celebrating Kwanzaa.įor the first time, a Hallmark holiday movie features an LGBTQ couple as the focus in “The Holiday Sitter,” featuring Jonathan Bennett and George Krissa. The face of Hallmark, Lacey Chabert, also returns for a record-breaking twelfth Christmas movie for the network, “Haul Out the Holly,” alongside Wes Brown. In fact, leading men Tyler Hynes, Andrew Walker and Paul Campbell will come together for the first time in “Three Wise Men and a Baby,” playing three brothers forced to work together to take care of a baby throughout the holidays. This year’s “Countdown to Christmas” and “Miracles of Christmas” lineups include many new faces in the Hallmark world, as well as some returning favorites. 21, the networks will both be airing around-the-clock holiday movies additionally, the Hallmark Movies Now streaming service kicks off “Movies & Mistletoe,” providing subscribers with more than 150 Christmas movies with new content available each week. ![]() Variety can exclusively reveal the 40 new movies coming this holiday season - 31 on Hallmark and 9 on Hallmark Movies & Mysteries.īeginning Friday, Oct. It may be the first day of fall, but for Hallmark Channel, that means it’s only one month away from their annual “Countdown to Christmas” and “Miracles of Christmas” events. ![]() |
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